17

Cashel Queen

2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 80

Curragh · Goffs Million · 7f

#10

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#10

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Continued theme of minor race-by-race progress when off the mark at fourth attempt at Roscommon a month ago. This is a different environment.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 11/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 7f35y Sft 12511/06C8C8 @ Bellewstown 02/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 7f211y Gd 1252/07C8C8 @ Down Royal 17/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 7f25y Goo 12817/07C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR 75 · 7f111y Gd 128 · beat its mark18/08/2026 · OR 75 par18/08C8OR 75projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-18Roscommon?1st1st0
2026-07-17Down Royal?4th4th0
2026-07-02Bellewstown?2nd2nd0
2026-06-11Leopardstown?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today11/062/0717/0718/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 9-18 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength5%

Delivery trend +4.3% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
11/06/20263rd4/179%71%-0.08
02/07/20262nd3/184%88%+0.03
17/07/20264th4/179%40%-0.39
18/08/20261st4/179%100%+0.21