4
Dorigo
2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 95
Curragh · Goffs Million · 7f
#5
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.6 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Doncaster | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | York | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Goodwood | 2 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Royal Ascot | 1 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Newcastle | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1882% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength86%
Delivery trend -4.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 9/1 | 53% | 83% | +0.31 |
| 17/06/2026 | 7th | 125/1 | 0% | 75% | +0.75 |
| 28/07/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 93% | +0.56 |
| 22/08/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 70% | -0.04 |
| 10/09/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 88% | +0.45 |