5
Green Dreamer
2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 103
Curragh · Goffs Million · 7f
#4
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
3%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-12 | Leopardstown | 1 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-22 | Curragh | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-23 | Leopardstown | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-13 | Killarney | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1888% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -8.2% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 18. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/07/2026 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 23/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 12/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |