9

Nation Blaze

2yo Gelding · 9-5

Curragh · Goffs Million · 7f

#13

Rank

Odds

150/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Sioux Nation colt who left first 2 runs well behind post gelding operation when second of 5 at Cork (6f) 17 days ago. Bred to improve as stamina is drawn out but this no easy task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 6.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 03/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 5f Sft 1333/05C8C8 @ Naas 22/07/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 5f205y Goo 13322/07C8C0 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 5 · OR - · 6f Goo 1339/09C?projClass-projected finish: 12th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?2nd2nd0
2026-07-22Naas?8th8th0
2026-05-03Cork?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0522/079/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1859% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +55.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/20269th10/147%11%-0.36
22/07/20268th80/10%59%+0.59
09/09/20262nd28/10%75%+0.75