20
Roeillaun
2yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 84
Curragh · Goffs Million · 7f
#7
Rank
Odds
150/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.8 /10 (raw 3.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | Navan | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Naas | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Curragh | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Cork | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Naas | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 1-18 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength42%
Delivery trend +6.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 24/07/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 33% | -0.22 |
| 16/08/2026 | 2nd | 50/1 | 0% | 94% | +0.94 |
| 23/08/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 86% | +0.30 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 5/4 | 93% | 100% | +0.07 |