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11

Thomas Chippendale

2yo Colt · 9-5

Curragh · Goffs Million · 7f

#14

Rank

Odds

66/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Camelot colt who showed plenty to work on when third of 4 in maiden at Galway (8.5f) last month. Failed to progress as expected at the Curragh 2 weeks later (9f) and drop in distance isn't an obvious move.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 4.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 4 · OR - · 1m73y Yie 1331/08C8C8 @ Curragh 16/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f Goo 13316/08C8projClass-projected finish: 15th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-16Curragh?6th6th0
2026-08-01Galway?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0816/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish18th of 180% of fieldRange 18-18 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -8.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 18th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20263rd5/174%33%-0.40
16/08/20266th11/893%44%-0.48