12
Trean
2yo Colt · 9-5 · OR 104
Curragh · Goffs Million · 7f
#1
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
37%
Place Prob
31%
Rank
#1
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | Curragh | 1 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-19 | York | 1 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-27 | Galway | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | Curragh | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Fairyhouse | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +19.3% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/06/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 26/06/2026 | 10th | 13/8 | 91% | 18% | -0.73 |
| 27/07/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 19/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 13/09/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |