5

Almazann

3yo Colt · 9-8 · OR 86

Curragh · Gra Chocolates Maiden · 1m 2f

#1

Rank

Odds

15/8

Win Prob

100%

Place Prob

96%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed plenty when runner-up on first 3 starts. Proved a let-down at Roscommon last time, looking awkward under pressure. First-time cheekpieces and drop in trip need to have a positive effect.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Class-adjusted form 2.5 /10 (raw 2.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 24/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m2f100y Goo 13124/04C8C8 @ Leopardstown 10/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 8 · OR - · 1m4f Gd 13410/05C8C8 @ Roscommon 18/08/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m4f48y Goo 13418/08C8C8 @ Roscommon 31/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR 87 · 1m4f17y Goo 134 · below its mark31/08/2026 · OR 87 par31/08C8OR 87projClass-projected finish: 1st of 7
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-31Roscommon?4th4th0
2026-08-18Roscommon?2nd2nd0
2026-05-10Leopardstown?2nd2nd0
2026-04-24Cork?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/0410/0518/0831/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 18100% of fieldRange 5-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength68%

Delivery trend -6.6% per run

What the projection says

Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 1st of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/04/20262nd9/488%93%+0.05
10/05/20262nd15/890%86%-0.04
18/08/20262nd5/493%92%-0.01
31/08/20264th4/696%79%-0.18