1

Big Jake

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Curragh · Gra Chocolates Maiden · 1m 2f

#11

Rank

Odds

28/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€10,000 yearling, resold €32,000 yearling, Starspangledbanner gelding. Half-brother to useful 8.6f-1¼m winner Chriszoff. Offered something to work on when fourth of 18 in 1m maiden at Cork on belated debut 17 days ago. Up in trip and open to improvement.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Cork 09/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 18 · OR - · 1m Goo 1399/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Cork?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1847% of fieldRange 2-7 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength28%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 10th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/09/20264th14/126%82%+0.56