2

Desert Swing

4yo Gelding · 9-13

Curragh · Gra Chocolates Maiden · 1m 2f

#13

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Hasn't shaped with a great deal of encouragement on either start to date, including in a first-time visor last time.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.0 /10 (raw 7.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Galway 01/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 12 · OR - · 1m73y Yie 1411/08C8C8 @ Clonmel 16/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f168y Yie 13516/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-16Clonmel?5th5th0
2026-08-01Galway?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0816/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1824% of fieldRange 14-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength24%

Delivery trend +6.1% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 14th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/08/20269th16/116%27%+0.11
16/09/20265th16/116%33%+0.18