IvyArcIvyArc
13

Royal Ballet Blue

3yo Colt · 9-8

Curragh · Gra Chocolates Maiden · 1m 2f

#14

Rank

Odds

18/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#14

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€18,000 foal, Elzaam colt. Ran as if in need of the run for fitness and experience when sixth of 12 in C&D maiden on debut last month, unable to sustain effort. Entitled to take a step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 22/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 13422/08C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-22Curragh?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today22/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1835% of fieldRange 4-9 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength43%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
22/08/20266th100/10%55%+0.55