14

State Of Wyoming

3yo Colt · 9-8

Curragh · Gra Chocolates Maiden · 1m 2f

#9

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Well-bred Night of Thunder colt who was said to have returned lame when failing to meet expectations (sent off favourite) in heavy-ground maiden at Navan (1m) on debut in March. Clearly thought capable of better.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 12.0 /10 (raw 12.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 30/03/2026 · Pos 12th of 15 · OR - · 7f180y Hvy 13130/03C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-03-30Navan?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/03
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1876% of fieldRange 10-15 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength44%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 18. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/202612th13/891%21%-0.70