18

What Do You Say

3yo Filly · 9-3

Curragh · Gra Chocolates Maiden · 1m 2f

#17

Rank

Odds

200/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#17

★★ Timeform

Commentary

€20,000 yearling, Kodi Bear filly who ran to no more than a modest level at Navan on debut 24 days ago, merely passing beaten rivals.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 13.0 /10 (raw 13.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 13th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 1292/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?13th13th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 1812% of fieldRange 11-16 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength20%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 18. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/202613th125/10%40%+0.40