5
Camelot Queen
3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 72
Curragh · Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f
#3
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-17 | Down Royal | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Down Royal | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Cork | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-15 | Leopardstown | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Leopardstown | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1756% of fieldRange 9-17 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength8%
Delivery trend -6.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 17. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 44% | -0.24 |
| 15/04/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 19/05/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 55% | -0.11 |
| 20/06/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |
| 17/07/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 50% | -0.43 |