7

Emberelle

3yo Filly · 9-3

Curragh · Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f

#12

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

€6,000 foal, £6,000 yearling, City Light filly. Closely related to 7f/1m winner Coefficiente and half-sister to 13f-2m winner Surrey Belle. Dam useful French 1½m winner. Shaped nicely first-time up at Navan and wouldn't be a surprise to see her take a big step forward.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 18 · OR - · 1m30y Gd 1295/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Navan?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1769% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength79%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/09/20268th18/15%59%+0.54