1
Isthatrightkatie
6yo Mare · 9-8
Curragh · Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f
#17
Rank
Odds
300/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#17
★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength10%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C7.0
Today:
Class gap: +1.0
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Kilbeggan | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-14 | Tramore | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-07-20 | Curragh | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-07-13 | Sligo | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-06-21 | Bangor-on-Dee | 4 | 12th | 7th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1731% of fieldRange 3-14 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +14.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 12th of 17. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 13/07/2025 | 6th | 17/2 | 55% | 17% | -0.39 |
| 20/07/2025 | 8th | 150/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 14/08/2026 | 7th | 200/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 04/09/2026 | 9th | 150/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |