9

Lookingforarainbow

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 84

Curragh · Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f

#6

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#6

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Showed plenty in 3 races at 2 yrs and made a creditable belated return at Navan 3 weeks ago, though that form is just ordinary.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▼2
Strength28%

What the class read says

Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 7 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C5.6
Today:
Class gap: +2.4
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Curragh 09/08/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f Gd 1239/08C?C8 @ Punchestown 16/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 1m30y Goo 12816/09C81 @ Dundalk 10/10/2025 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 7f Std 126 · HIGHER CLASS10/101C8 @ Navan 05/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 18 · OR 87 · 1m30y Gd 129 · below its mark05/09/2026 · OR 87 par5/09C8OR 87projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 11
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-05Navan?5th5th0
2025-10-10Dundalk17th-2th+7
2025-09-16Punchestown?4th4th0
2025-08-09Curragh?3rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today9/0816/0910/105/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1781% of fieldRange 1-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength47%

Delivery trend -11.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
09/08/20253rd28/10%78%+0.78
16/09/20254th1/195%63%-0.32
10/10/20257th11/142%14%-0.28
05/09/20265th12/137%76%+0.40