IvyArcIvyArc
15

Sangreal

3yo Filly · 9-3 · OR 77

Curragh · Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f

#1

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

37%

Place Prob

39%

Rank

#1

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Placed all 3 starts in maidens though probably wants a stiffer test than this.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.7 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Leopardstown 15/04/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 1m2f Yie 12915/04C8C8 @ Cork 19/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m4f30y Sft 12619/05C8C8 @ Gowran Park 12/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f100y Yie 12912/06C8projClass-projected finish: 1st of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-12Gowran Park?3rd3rd0
2026-05-19Cork?3rd3rd0
2026-04-15Leopardstown?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today15/0419/0512/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1788% of fieldRange 6-14 · 68%
▬ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength42%

Delivery trend -13.3% per run

What the projection says

Edging ahead of its price lately — not a standalone signal; it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
15/04/20262nd13/266%88%+0.22
19/05/20263rd15/890%82%-0.08
12/06/20263rd2/189%85%-0.05