19

Socratea

3yo Filly · 9-3

Curragh · Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f

#11

Rank

Odds

125/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Mid-field in maidens at Naas/Navan.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.5 /10 (raw 8.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Naas 24/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 19 · OR - · 1m Gd 12924/06C8C8 @ Navan 02/09/2026 · Pos 10th of 21 · OR - · 1m2f Goo 1292/09C8projClass-projected finish: 8th of 11
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Navan?10th10th0
2026-06-24Naas?7th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today24/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 176% of fieldRange 17-17 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -22.2% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 16th of 17. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
24/06/20267th14/126%67%+0.40
02/09/202610th12/137%55%+0.18