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3yo Filly · 9-3

Curragh · Equiwinner Patches Fillies Maiden · 1m 1f

#4

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#4

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Dubawi filly. Half-sister to several winners, including top-class winner up to 1½m City of Troy. Off for almost a year after her second in maiden here (7f) but that form has worked out well and her pedigree is second to none.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Curragh 04/10/2025 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 7f Sft 1284/10C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2025-10-04Curragh?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/10
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1794% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength98%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 2nd of 17. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/10/20252nd4/179%92%+0.13