9

Legal Dancer

3yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 80

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Diamond Rise Maiden Plate · 6f 211y

#1

Rank

Odds

5/6

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

66%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

25/1, second of 9 in maiden at this C&D (good) 24 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.0 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 05/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1265/08C8C8 @ Durbanville 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1322/09C8projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 7
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Durbanville?2nd2nd0
2026-08-05Kenilworth?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/082/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 14100% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +65.3% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 14. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/08/20268th80/10%22%+0.22
02/09/20262nd20/10%88%+0.88