6

October Rush

3yo Colt · 9-0 · OR 63

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Diamond Rise Maiden Plate · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

11/2

Win Prob

1%

Place Prob

6%

Rank

#4

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3/1, eighth of 16 in minor event at Scottsville (6f, good to soft) 90 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.0 /10 (raw 8.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Scottsville 28/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13228/06C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-28Scottsville?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1485% of fieldRange 6-11 · 50%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength63%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 14. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/06/20268th11/486%53%-0.32