4
Oh So Onederful
4yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 59
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Diamond Rise Maiden Plate · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.4
Today:
Class gap: +0.6
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | ? | 9th | 5th | +4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-18 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish10th of 1431% of fieldRange 7-14 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 10th of 14. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/12/2025 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 40/1 | 0% | 90% | +0.90 |
| 14/02/2026 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 22% | -0.46 |
| 21/03/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 18/04/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 16/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 89% | +0.18 |
| 02/06/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 16/06/2026 | 11th | 10/1 | 47% | 17% | -0.31 |
| 06/09/2026 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |