8

First Bloom

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 62

Durbanville · Jazz Syndicate Maiden Plate (F & M) · 6f 211y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/4

Win Prob

94%

Place Prob

72%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

Second of 11 in maiden (13/2) at this course (6.2f, good) 24 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 2.0 /10 (raw 2.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 02/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 11 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1322/09C8
Actual finishDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Durbanville?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today2/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 11100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 50%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGconfirms a short-priced top pick
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.0% per run

What the projection says

Beating its price historically confirms the short-priced top pick — model and market read it the same way. Projected 1st of 11. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
02/09/20262nd5/174%90%+0.16