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6

Rock The Road

4yo Filly · 9-6 · OR 46

Durbanville · Jazz Syndicate Maiden Plate (F & M) · 6f 211y

#5

Rank

Odds

15/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#5

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

13/2, fifth of 11 in maiden at Kenilworth (6f, good to soft) 52 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 01/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1321/04C8C8 @ Kenilworth 16/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 13216/06C8C8 @ Kenilworth 05/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1325/08C8projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-05Kenilworth?5th5th0
2026-06-16Kenilworth?3rd3rd0
2026-04-01Kenilworth?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0416/065/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1150% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength21%

Delivery trend -30.5% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 6th of 11. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/04/20264th66/10%50%+0.50
16/06/20263rd10/382%75%-0.07
05/08/20265th11/271%60%-0.11