9

Runway Romance

3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 51

Durbanville · Jazz Syndicate Maiden Plate (F & M) · 6f 211y

#11

Rank

Odds

100/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#11

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Remains a maiden after 7 Flat runs. 66/1, sixth of 8 in maiden at this course (8f, good) 24 days ago.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.8 /10 (raw 8.3)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 03/05/2026 · Pos 11th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1323/05C8C8 @ Kenilworth 19/05/2026 · Pos 8th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13219/05C8C8 @ Kenilworth 02/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1322/06C8C8 @ Kenilworth 23/06/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13223/06C8C8 @ Durbanville 18/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 12618/07C8C8 @ Kenilworth 05/08/2026 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1265/08C8C8 @ Durbanville 02/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 8 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 1262/09C8projClass-projected finish: 6th of 6
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-02Durbanville?6th6th0
2026-08-05Kenilworth?11th11th0
2026-07-18Durbanville?5th5th0
2026-06-23Kenilworth?12th12th0
2026-06-02Kenilworth?5th5th0
2026-05-19Kenilworth?8th8th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0523/062/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 110% of fieldRange 5-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength30%

Delivery trend +1.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 11th of 11.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/05/202611th66/10%0%0.00
19/05/20268th66/10%30%+0.30
02/06/20265th33/10%43%+0.43
23/06/202612th28/10%0%0.00
18/07/20265th18/15%56%+0.50
05/08/202611th33/10%9%+0.09
02/09/20266th66/10%29%+0.29