2
Senorita Lolita
3yo Filly · 9-0 · OR 61
Durbanville · Jazz Syndicate Maiden Plate (F & M) · 6f 211y
#4
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C8.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Kenilworth | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-23 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1140% of fieldRange 9-11 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -61.9% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 11. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/06/2026 | 2nd | 33/1 | 0% | 91% | +0.91 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 60% | -0.26 |
| 12/08/2026 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 25% | -0.33 |