3
Absolutely Yes
4yo Gelding · 9-10 · OR 92
Durbanville · Kikkuli Standing At Paardeberg Stud B Stakes · 6f 47y
#2
Rank
Odds
7/2
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
8%
Rank
#2
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength65%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: +1.2
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | 3 | 2nd | 0th | +2 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-21 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-01-31 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2025-12-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 14th | 9th | +4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 2nd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/2025 | 5th | 11/2 | 71% | 56% | -0.15 |
| 02/11/2025 | 9th | 5/1 | 74% | 0% | -0.74 |
| 22/11/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 13/12/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 7% | +0.07 |
| 31/01/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 21/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 07/07/2026 | 2nd | 9/4 | 88% | 86% | -0.02 |
| 12/08/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 06/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |