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8

Golden Destiny

5yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 67

Durbanville · Kikkuli Standing At Paardeberg Stud B Stakes · 6f 47y

#7

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

★★ Timeform

Commentary

14/1, last of 8 in minor event at Greyville (6f, AW). Off 101 days. Uphill task.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength52%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 5.6 /10 (raw 4.9)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: +0.8
Higher-class runs: 3
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kenilworth 08/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 1338/02C?C5 @ Greyville 06/04/2025 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 6f211y GS 122C5 @ Scottsville 30/04/2025 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12630/04C5C5 @ Greyville 28/05/2025 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 6f211y Std 1263 @ Kenilworth 26/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASS26/1133 @ Kenilworth 21/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 123 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Kenilworth 13/01/2026 · Pos 9th of 11 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12613/01C53 @ Greyville 09/05/2026 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASSC5 @ Greyville 17/06/2026 · Pos 8th of 8 · OR - · 5f212y Std 12617/06C5projClass-projected finish: 8th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-17Greyville?8th8th0
2026-05-09Greyville39th7th+2
2026-01-13Kenilworth?9th9th0
2025-12-21Kenilworth32nd0th+2
2025-11-26Kenilworth32nd0th+2
2025-05-28Greyville?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/0228/0513/0117/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 7-8 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%

Delivery trend -4.7% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/02/20251st5/287%100%+0.13
06/04/20252nd7/491%91%+0.00
30/04/20256th11/893%55%-0.38
28/05/20259th11/271%20%-0.51
26/11/20252nd5/174%83%+0.10
21/12/20252nd8/158%88%+0.30
13/01/20269th6/168%20%-0.48
09/05/20269th12/137%11%-0.26
17/06/20268th9/153%0%-0.53