6

Jordash

4yo Filly · 8-11 · OR 45

Durbanville · Kikkuli Standing At Paardeberg Stud B Stakes · 6f 47y

#8

Rank

Odds

50/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

★★ Timeform

Commentary

25/1 and tongue strap on for 1st time, twelfth of 13 in minor event at Kenilworth (6f, good). Off 8 months. First run for yard after leaving P. B. Muscutt. Difficult ask.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCOMPETITIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength30%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.

Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 7.4 /10 (raw 6.5)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.2
Today:
Class gap: -0.7
Higher-class runs: 1

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Kenilworth 18/01/2025 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 12718/01C8C8 @ Kenilworth 11/02/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13211/02C8C0 @ Greyville 05/07/2025 · Pos 8th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS5/07C?C5 @ Kenilworth 10/01/2026 · Pos 12th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 12910/01C5projClass-projected finish: 7th of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-01-10Kenilworth?12th12th0
2025-07-05Greyville?8th3rd+4
2025-02-11Kenilworth?1st5th−4
2025-01-18Kenilworth?5th9th−4

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today18/0111/025/0710/01
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 814% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength49%

Delivery trend +15.8% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 7th of 8. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
18/01/20255th4/179%43%-0.36
11/02/20251st4/179%100%+0.21
05/07/20258th50/10%46%+0.46
10/01/202612th25/10%8%+0.08