1
Kattekwaadkwadraad
4yo Filly · 8-5 · OR 84
Durbanville · Kikkuli Standing At Paardeberg Stud B Stakes · 6f 47y
#3
Rank
Odds
9/4
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength39%
What the class read says
Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.
Held its own mid-division in 1 of 2 stronger races — solid form context.
Dropping 4 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.0
Today:
Class gap: -0.5
Higher-class runs: 2
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 0th | +4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Kenilworth | 4 | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2025-12-06 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 5th | −4 |
| 2025-10-18 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 4-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength34%
Delivery trend -13.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 90% | +0.48 |
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 06/12/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 63% | -0.16 |
| 04/01/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 90% | +0.03 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 67% | -0.18 |
| 28/02/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 50% | -0.36 |