5
One Liner
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 81
Durbanville · Kikkuli Standing At Paardeberg Stud B Stakes · 6f 47y
#4
Rank
Odds
15/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼1
Strength61%
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.
Finished in the top 3 in 3 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 4.2)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.9
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form contextHandicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | 3 | 3rd | 1st | +2 |
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | 3 | 7th | 5th | +2 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kenilworth | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-01-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-26 | Kenilworth | 3 | 1st | -1th | +2 |
| 2025-11-02 | Kenilworth | 4 | 1st | 0th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▲
Strength88%
Delivery trend +3.8% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/09/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 0% | -0.76 |
| 22/09/2025 | 7th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 15/10/2025 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 78% | +0.04 |
| 02/11/2025 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 26/11/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 13/01/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 40% | -0.39 |
| 06/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 50% | -0.24 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 8/1 | 58% | 40% | -0.18 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 16/1 | 16% | 78% | +0.62 |