6
Congressman
6yo Gelding · 9-3 · OR 79
Durbanville · Settlers Trophy (Listed Handicap) (4-Year-Olds and Older) · 1m 1f 208y
#2
Rank
Odds
9/2
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
17%
Rank
#2
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength50%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 1.9 /10 (raw 3.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.6
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-12-06 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | -1th | +3 |
| 2025-09-27 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-06-24 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-06-01 | Kenilworth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-03-22 | Durbanville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -3.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/09/2024 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 64% | -0.10 |
| 29/10/2024 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 89% | +0.13 |
| 23/11/2024 | 1st | 9/4 | 88% | 100% | +0.12 |
| 22/03/2025 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 01/06/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 87% | +0.21 |
| 24/06/2025 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 27/09/2025 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 86% | +0.07 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/2 | 82% | 71% | -0.10 |
| 06/12/2025 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |