2
Miami Summer
4yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 84
Durbanville · Settlers Trophy (Listed Handicap) (4-Year-Olds and Older) · 1m 1f 208y
#3
Rank
Odds
1/1
Win Prob
6%
Place Prob
16%
Rank
#3
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade today, into tougher company than it has been meeting.
Class-adjusted form 4.1 /10 (raw 2.7)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C5.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.5
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-22 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kenilworth | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-12-06 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2025-09-22 | Durbanville | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength78%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/08/2025 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 22/09/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 90% | +0.08 |
| 29/10/2025 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 06/12/2025 | 5th | 6/4 | 92% | 43% | -0.49 |
| 16/06/2026 | 4th | 5/1 | 74% | 57% | -0.17 |
| 14/07/2026 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 22/08/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |