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5

Double Grand Slam

6yo Mare · 9-10 · OR 99

Durbanville · Diana Stakes (Grade 3) (Fillies And Mares) · 6f 211y

#1

Rank

Odds

8/15

Win Prob

97%

Place Prob

84%

Rank

#1

★★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. 2 wins from 5 runs this year. Bit below form 1½ lengths third of 10 to Quickstepgal in Gr 1 at Greyville (8f, good, 11/10) 84 days ago. Booking of De Melo a plus. Enters calculations.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength56%

What the class read says

Has campaigned at a higher grade and now drops into weaker company. Dropping in class here looks deliberate, not a concession.

Finished in the top 3 in 4 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 1.6 /10 (raw 2.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.2
Today:
Class gap: +0.4
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Kenilworth 25/01/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS25/01C?C0 @ Scottsville 31/05/2025 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Greyville 05/07/2025 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 7f210y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS5/07C?C0 @ Kenilworth 22/11/2025 · Pos 1st of 5 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 137C0 @ Kenilworth 10/01/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS10/01C?C0 @ Kenilworth 31/01/2026 · Pos 1st of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Turffontein 04/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS4/04C?C0 @ Scottsville 23/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS4/07C?projClass-projected finish: 1st of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Greyville?3rd3rd+0
2026-05-23Scottsville?2nd2nd+0
2026-04-04Turffontein?1st1st+0
2026-01-31Kenilworth?1st1st+0
2026-01-10Kenilworth?4th4th+0
2025-11-22Kenilworth?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today25/0122/114/044/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 8100% of fieldRange 1-3 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength97%

Delivery trend +1.0% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 1st of 8.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
25/01/20252nd8/1196%83%-0.13
31/05/20256th5/287%64%-0.23
05/07/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
22/11/20251st11/1094%100%+0.06
10/01/20264th5/696%67%-0.29
31/01/20261st11/893%100%+0.07
04/04/20261st6/594%100%+0.06
23/05/20262nd15/890%92%+0.02
04/07/20263rd5/493%78%-0.16