8
Kamchatka
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 72
Durbanville · Diana Stakes (Grade 3) (Fillies And Mares) · 6f 211y
#7
Rank
Odds
28/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 3.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.9
Today:
Class gap: -2.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2025-12-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2025-09-07 | Durbanville | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2025-07-26 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 80% of fieldRange 6-8 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 8th of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/02/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 50% | +0.03 |
| 01/06/2025 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 21/06/2025 | 1st | 11/2 | 71% | 100% | +0.29 |
| 26/07/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 83% | -0.06 |
| 07/09/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 60% | -0.27 |
| 08/11/2025 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 88% | +0.88 |
| 13/12/2025 | 4th | 4/1 | 79% | 67% | -0.12 |
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 33% | -0.46 |
| 04/03/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |