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4

Keukenhof

4yo Filly · 9-10 · OR 95

Durbanville · Diana Stakes (Grade 3) (Fillies And Mares) · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

17/2

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#4

★★ Timeform

Commentary

Latest win at Greyville in March. Good 2¾ lengths fourth of 10 to Quickstepgal in Gr 1 (16/1) at Greyville (8f, good) 84 days ago. Very hard to make a case for.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength49%

What the class read says

The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price.

Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 5 stronger races — strong class form.

Dropping 0 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 4.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.3
Higher-class runs: 5
Stronger class form context

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC1 @ Durbanville 27/09/2025 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 11427/09C1C0 @ Kenilworth 08/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Kenilworth 06/12/2025 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 132 · HIGHER CLASS6/12C?C0 @ Kenilworth 10/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m209y Gd 119 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Kenilworth 31/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 121 · HIGHER CLASS31/01C?C1 @ Greyville 27/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 119C0 @ Greyville 02/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 7f210y GS 132 · HIGHER CLASS2/05C?C0 @ Greyville 30/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 1m1f208y Gd 127 · HIGHER CLASSC0 @ Greyville 04/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f210y Gd 130 · HIGHER CLASS4/07C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 8
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-04Greyville?4th4th+0
2026-05-30Greyville?3rd3rd+0
2026-05-02Greyville?3rd3rd+0
2026-03-27Greyville?1st1st0
2026-01-31Kenilworth?6th6th+0
2026-01-10Kenilworth?7th7th+0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0910/012/054/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▼
Strength49%

Delivery trend -3.6% per run

What the projection says

Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/09/20254th13/266%73%+0.07
08/11/20253rd22/10%78%+0.78
06/12/20258th33/10%36%+0.36
10/01/20267th25/10%33%+0.33
31/01/20266th22/10%58%+0.58
27/03/20261st3/184%100%+0.16
02/05/20263rd8/158%78%+0.20
30/05/20263rd6/168%67%-0.02
04/07/20264th11/142%67%+0.25