7
Viva La Vida
4yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 81
Durbanville · Diana Stakes (Grade 3) (Fillies And Mares) · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲2
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 3.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.5
Today:
Class gap: -1.8
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
| 2026-05-03 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-04-06 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 3rd | −0 |
| 2026-02-28 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kenilworth | 4 | 7th | 11th | −3 |
| 2025-10-15 | Durbanville | 4 | 1st | 5th | −3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▬
Strength41%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05/2025 | 2nd | 7/1 | 63% | 89% | +0.26 |
| 24/06/2025 | 1st | 10/11 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 13/08/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 15/10/2025 | 1st | 6/4 | 92% | 100% | +0.08 |
| 10/11/2025 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 14% | -0.62 |
| 28/02/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |
| 06/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 71% | +0.45 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 89% | +0.42 |
| 06/09/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 71% | -0.02 |