9
Chasingtherainbow
5yo Gelding · 9-0 · OR 92
Durbanville · Matchem Stakes (Grade 3) · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
6%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readSTEP-UP TEST
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲4
Strength0%
What the class read says
Stepping up in grade without clear higher-class evidence yet. Not automatically a negative, especially for a lightly-raced or progressive type.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 3.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.2
Today:
Class gap: -3.6
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-01-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 12th | −4 |
| 2025-12-13 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 11th | −2 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 857% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength53%
Delivery trend +2.8% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 4th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/06/2025 | 1st | 15/2 | 61% | 100% | +0.39 |
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 63% | -0.28 |
| 05/10/2025 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 75% | -0.11 |
| 10/11/2025 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 13/12/2025 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 13% | -0.24 |
| 10/01/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 22/02/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 19/05/2026 | 1st | 17/2 | 55% | 100% | +0.45 |
| 21/06/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |