6
Gold Giboski
4yo Gelding · 8-7 · OR 90
Durbanville · Matchem Stakes (Grade 3) · 6f 211y
#2
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
12%
Rank
#2
★★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲3
Strength8%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 2.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: -3.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-14 | Fairview | ? | 2nd | 2nd | −0 |
| 2026-07-07 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-06-16 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 6th | −4 |
| 2026-05-19 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 7th | −4 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 10th | −4 |
| 2026-02-04 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 8th | −4 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 871% of fieldRange 3-7 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength47%
Delivery trend +2.6% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/09/2025 | 1st | 1/3 | 98% | 100% | +0.02 |
| 03/12/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 13/01/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 04/02/2026 | 3rd | 2/1 | 89% | 50% | -0.39 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 19/05/2026 | 2nd | 6/1 | 68% | 89% | +0.20 |
| 16/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 07/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 14/08/2026 | 2nd | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |