8

Girl Like Us
6yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 79
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Crazy Time Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 47y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-27 | Durbanville | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kenilworth | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-18 | Durbanville | 4 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-22 | Kenilworth | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-02-04 | Kenilworth | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength57%
Delivery trend -5.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |
| 29/10/2025 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 63% | +0.15 |
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 04/02/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 56% | -0.21 |
| 22/02/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 18/03/2026 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 80% | -0.09 |
| 27/04/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 82% | +0.13 |
| 31/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 6/4 | 92% | 80% | -0.12 |