8

Girl Like Us

6yo Mare · 9-4 · OR 79

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Crazy Time Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 47y

#3

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

3%

Rank

#3

★★★ Timeform

Commentary

C&D winner. 33/20, creditable third of 11 in handicap at this C&D (good). Off 91 days.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength40%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.

Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.0
Today: 4
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack4 @ Durbanville 08/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1338/1044 @ Durbanville 29/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 9 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1334 @ Kenilworth 26/11/2025 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13326/1144 @ Kenilworth 04/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 1324 @ Kenilworth 22/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 5f212y Gd 13122/0244 @ Durbanville 18/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1324 @ Kenilworth 27/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 13027/0444 @ Kenilworth 31/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1304 @ Durbanville 27/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 13027/064projClass-projected finish: 1st of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-06-27Durbanville43rd3rd0
2026-05-31Kenilworth42nd2nd0
2026-04-27Kenilworth43rd3rd0
2026-03-18Durbanville42nd2nd0
2026-02-22Kenilworth45th5th0
2026-02-04Kenilworth45th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/104/0227/0427/06
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▼
Strength57%

Delivery trend -5.8% per run

What the projection says

Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20255th16/116%60%+0.44
29/10/20254th10/147%63%+0.15
26/11/20254th66/10%70%+0.70
04/02/20265th9/276%56%-0.21
22/02/20265th6/168%67%-0.02
18/03/20262nd2/189%80%-0.09
27/04/20263rd6/168%82%+0.13
31/05/20262nd10/382%91%+0.08
27/06/20263rd6/492%80%-0.12