2
Maritzburg Memory
5yo Mare · 8-7 · OR 64
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Crazy Time Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 47y
#8
Rank
Odds
22/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 5.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.2
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kenilworth | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Kenilworth | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kenilworth | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | 4 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kenilworth | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 90% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ SLIPPINGslightly under its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -5.3% per run
What the projection says
Slipping just behind its market price recently. Projected 9th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/12/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 13/01/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 33% | -0.19 |
| 22/02/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 58% | -0.10 |
| 01/04/2026 | 5th | 22/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 27/04/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 27% | -0.10 |
| 31/05/2026 | 9th | 16/1 | 16% | 27% | +0.11 |
| 21/06/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 83% | +0.18 |
| 12/08/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 06/09/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |