4
Pushing Limits
6yo Mare · 8-10 · OR 69
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Crazy Time Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 47y
#5
Rank
Odds
17/2
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength34%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.9)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.4
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.4
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-05-16 | Kenilworth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Kenilworth | ? | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-10 | Kenilworth | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2025-10-29 | Durbanville | ? | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
| 2025-09-27 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength46%
Delivery trend -4.4% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/09/2024 | 5th | 33/1 | 0% | 56% | +0.56 |
| 26/10/2024 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 33% | -0.25 |
| 04/05/2025 | 10th | 8/1 | 58% | 0% | -0.58 |
| 27/09/2025 | 1st | 18/1 | 5% | 100% | +0.95 |
| 29/10/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 80% | +0.14 |
| 10/12/2025 | 1st | 9/2 | 76% | 100% | +0.24 |
| 04/01/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 29% | -0.45 |
| 16/05/2026 | 3rd | 17/2 | 55% | 67% | +0.11 |
| 02/09/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 50% | -0.26 |