1
Splash Of Colour
4yo Filly · 8-8 · OR 57
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Crazy Time Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 47y
#9
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#9
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▲1
Strength16%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 7.1 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.9
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.9
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Kenilworth | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-02-25 | Kenilworth | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2026-01-17 | Durbanville | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kenilworth | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-10-08 | Durbanville | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength64%
Delivery trend +5.5% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/06/2025 | 6th | 11/8 | 93% | 44% | -0.48 |
| 26/07/2025 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 13/09/2025 | 8th | 6/1 | 68% | 22% | -0.46 |
| 08/10/2025 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 10/11/2025 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 17% | -0.57 |
| 21/12/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 40% | +0.40 |
| 17/01/2026 | 2nd | 25/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 25/02/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 38% | -0.36 |
| 03/05/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 46% | +0.04 |