6

Star World
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 90
Durbanville · Lucky Fish Crazy Time Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 47y
#1
Rank
Odds
11/4
Win Prob
99%
Place Prob
83%
Rank
#1
★★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-06 | Durbanville | 4 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-12 | Kenilworth | 4 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-25 | Durbanville | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-27 | Kenilworth | 4 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | 5 | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Durbanville | 5 | 2nd | 3rd | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%
Delivery trend -4.2% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/10/2025 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 06/12/2025 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 21/01/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/2 | 87% | 89% | +0.02 |
| 04/03/2026 | 1st | 1/1 | 95% | 100% | +0.05 |
| 27/04/2026 | 6th | 4/1 | 79% | 55% | -0.24 |
| 25/07/2026 | 5th | 9/2 | 76% | 43% | -0.33 |
| 12/08/2026 | 3rd | 6/1 | 68% | 71% | +0.03 |
| 06/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |