6

Star World

4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 90

Durbanville · Lucky Fish Crazy Time Class 4 (F & M) · 6f 47y

#1

Rank

Odds

11/4

Win Prob

99%

Place Prob

83%

Rank

#1

★★★★ Timeform

Commentary

3-time C&D winner. 28/10, career best when winning 7-runner handicap at this C&D (good) 20 days ago. Booking of De Melo a plus. Folly to ignore.

Class Advantage Projection

Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%

What the class read says

Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.

Class-adjusted form 3.4 /10 (raw 4.3)

Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.3
Today: 4
Class gap: -0.3
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC8 @ Durbanville 08/10/2025 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1288/10C84 @ Kenilworth 06/12/2025 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 4f214y Gd 1215 @ Durbanville 21/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 13321/0155 @ Durbanville 14/02/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1355 @ Durbanville 04/03/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1364/0354 @ Kenilworth 27/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1284 @ Durbanville 25/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 8 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 13025/0744 @ Kenilworth 12/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1324 @ Durbanville 06/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 6f47y Gd 1326/094projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 9
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-06Durbanville41st1st0
2026-08-12Kenilworth43rd3rd0
2026-07-25Durbanville45th5th0
2026-04-27Kenilworth46th6th0
2026-03-04Durbanville51st2nd−1
2026-02-14Durbanville52nd3rd−1

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today8/1014/0225/076/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 988% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength65%

Delivery trend -4.2% per run

What the projection says

Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 2nd of 9. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
08/10/20251st11/486%100%+0.14
06/12/20257th22/10%54%+0.54
21/01/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
14/02/20262nd5/287%89%+0.02
04/03/20261st1/195%100%+0.05
27/04/20266th4/179%55%-0.24
25/07/20265th9/276%43%-0.33
12/08/20263rd6/168%71%+0.03
06/09/20261st11/486%100%+0.14