2
Country Time
7yo Mare · 8-11 · OR 53
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future D Stakes · 4f 214y
#5
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 5.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Durbanville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kenilworth | 5 | 12th | 13th | −1 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kenilworth | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Durbanville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 950% of fieldRange 4-8 · 68%
▬ RUNS TO FORMmatches its price
Trend▬
Strength38%
Delivery trend -0.8% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 5th of 9.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/12/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 71% | +0.06 |
| 04/01/2026 | 5th | 15/2 | 61% | 43% | -0.18 |
| 21/01/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 89% | +0.23 |
| 14/02/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |
| 01/04/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 86% | +0.12 |
| 31/05/2026 | 12th | 16/1 | 16% | 0% | -0.16 |
| 18/07/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 67% | +0.25 |
| 15/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 02/09/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 33% | -0.35 |