9
Du Maurier
4yo Filly · 9-8 · OR 54
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future D Stakes · 4f 214y
#8
Rank
Odds
11/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Class-adjusted form 6.1 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.8
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-02-14 | Durbanville | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-01-13 | Kenilworth | 5 | 6th | 7th | −1 |
| 2025-12-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-11-10 | Kenilworth | 5 | 3rd | 4th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 938% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▲
Strength55%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 6th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07/2025 | 7th | 11/10 | 94% | 40% | -0.54 |
| 03/09/2025 | 2nd | 2/1 | 89% | 88% | -0.02 |
| 15/10/2025 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 43% | -0.43 |
| 10/11/2025 | 3rd | 5/2 | 87% | 67% | -0.20 |
| 21/12/2025 | 7th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 13/01/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 29% | +0.23 |
| 14/02/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 01/04/2026 | 7th | 15/8 | 90% | 14% | -0.76 |
| 15/08/2026 | 5th | 16/1 | 16% | 60% | +0.44 |