10
Gravity
6yo Gelding · 9-6 · OR 58
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future D Stakes · 4f 214y
#7
Rank
Odds
33/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readPROGRESSIVE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength22%
What the class read says
Stepping up in class, but the evidence backs it — has run against higher-rated rivals and held its own.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.7
Today:
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-02 | Durbanville | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-18 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-27 | Durbanville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-31 | Kenilworth | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
| 2026-04-18 | Kenilworth | 5 | 7th | 8th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 913% of fieldRange 4-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength16%
Delivery trend +2.0% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 9. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |
| 14/02/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 83% | +0.12 |
| 21/03/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 14% | -0.38 |
| 18/04/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 0% | -0.47 |
| 31/05/2026 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 27/06/2026 | 3rd | 18/1 | 5% | 60% | +0.55 |
| 18/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 56% | +0.19 |
| 15/08/2026 | 9th | 11/1 | 42% | 20% | -0.22 |
| 02/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 17% | +0.17 |