6
William's Woman
4yo Filly · 9-4 · OR 44
Durbanville · Hollywoodbets Bright Future D Stakes · 4f 214y
#6
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
★★★ Timeform
Class Advantage Projection
Class readCLASS EDGE
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength32%
What the class read says
Ran competitively despite going/trip that didn't suit it, at this same level — those runs look worse on paper than they were. Back in its own suited conditions today.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 5.4 /10 (raw 4.5)
Highest class: 4
Recent avg: C4.6
Today:
Class gap: -0.1
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-15 | Kenilworth | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-14 | Durbanville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-21 | Kenilworth | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-04-01 | Kenilworth | 5 | 8th | 9th | −1 |
| 2026-03-04 | Durbanville | 5 | 4th | 5th | −1 |
| 2026-02-14 | Durbanville | 4 | 5th | 4th | +1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 925% of fieldRange 3-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength26%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 7th of 9. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/10/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 06/12/2025 | 7th | 11/1 | 42% | 25% | -0.17 |
| 21/01/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 14/02/2026 | 5th | 7/4 | 91% | 43% | -0.48 |
| 04/03/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 01/04/2026 | 8th | 3/1 | 84% | 0% | -0.84 |
| 21/06/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 14/07/2026 | 5th | 9/4 | 88% | 33% | -0.55 |
| 15/08/2026 | 7th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |