15

Massilio Blond
4yo Gelding · 0-0
Enghien · Prix De Jarnac - Attele · 1m 6f 64y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▼5
Strength18%
What the class read says
Dropping in class from recent starts. Whether that's a positive depends on intent — worth checking the yard's record placing horses down in grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 5
Recent avg: C0.0
Today: 5
Class gap: +5.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-25 | La Capelle | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Enghien | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-29 | Enghien | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Vincennes | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-19 | La Capelle | ? | 0 | ||
| 2026-03-10 | Enghien | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 1-9 · 68%
▬ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price — informational only
Trend▲
Strength72%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Finishes ahead of its price historically, but the delivery record alone does not predict today's finish — it only counts alongside a short-priced top pick. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/10/2025 | 7th | 50/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 12/11/2025 | 14th | 66/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 06/02/2026 | 7th | 33/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 13/02/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 56% | +0.29 |
| 10/03/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 12/05/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 29/06/2026 | 8th | 50/1 | 0% | 42% | +0.42 |
| 29/07/2026 | 5th | 40/1 | 0% | 60% | +0.60 |
| 25/08/2026 | 3rd | 50/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |